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Small Business Indicators - Third Quarter 2004


   
  Last Five Years Last Five Quarters
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Q3-03 Q4-03 Q1-04 Q2-04 Q3-04
Business bankruptcy filings (thousands) 37.6 35.5 40.1 38.5 35.0 8.4 8.3 10.6 8.2 --
Proprietors' income (billions of dollars) 678.3 728.4 771.9 769.6 834.1 852.0 864.7 872.1 901.4 903.2
Prime bank loan rate 8.0 9.2 6.9 4.7 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.4
Rates for smallest loans (less than $100,000) 8.7 9.7 7.4 5.1 4.4 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.6
Senior loan officers (percent of respondents):
  Small firm C&I lending standards have eased 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.9 0.0 1.8 8.8 12.7 19.6 4.3
  Small firm C&I lending standards stayed same 90.5 78.7 60.5 78.2 86.2 93.0 84.2 85.5 80.4 87.0
  Small firm demand for C&I loans is stronger 14.5 15.5 6.6 4.6 12.7 15.8 15.7 27.3 43.6 30.4
  Small firm demand for C&I loans stayed same 75.4 65.8 50.4 50.0 60.0 56.1 64.7 67.3 50.9 60.9
Venture investment: number of deals 5615 8073 4617 3044 2834 692 753 684 794 601
Venture investment: total invested (billions of dollars) 54.7 105.9 41.0 21.5 18.7 4.3 5.4 5.1 5.9 4.3

Note: The third quarter figure for the Senior Loan Officers Survey is for July, which measures April through July. C&I loans refers to commercial and industrial loans. Sources: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; National Venture Capital Association; U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

  Last Five Years Last Five Months
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 May June July Aug Sept
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (1986 = 100) 101.2 100.3 98.4 101.2 101.3 104.5 103.0 105.9 102.9 104.5
NFIB: next 3 months "good time to expand" (percent of respondents) 22.8 19.2 12.3 14.3 15.7 22 21 25 19 23
NFIB: net percent planning to hire in the next 3 months 17.2 15.6 11.6 10.8 10.2 14 11 16 19 14
Self-employed, incorporated (millions) 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.6 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3
Self-employed, unincorporated (millions) 10.1 10.2 10.1 9.9 10.3 10.4 10.5 10.5 10.7 10.5

Sources: National Federation of Independent Business; Current Population Survey, U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics

 

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